The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement (GOSA) has released its annual “Beating the Odds” (BTO) analysis, and two Floyd County schools were identified as performing below their projected range. According to the report, Model Middle School and Pepperell Elementary School were classified as “Below Expected Range” based on the state’s analysis of College and Career Ready Performance Index (CCRPI) scores.
The Beating the Odds report compares a school’s actual CCRPI score against a predicted score generated through a statistical model. The model considers factors outside a school’s direct control, including demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, to determine what level of academic performance would be expected.
Schools are categorized as either beating expectations, performing within the expected range, or falling below expectations. To be classified as below expected, a school’s actual CCRPI score must fall beneath the lower boundary of the model’s confidence interval, indicating performance that was significantly lower than statistical projections.
The findings place Model Middle School and Pepperell Elementary among a small number of schools statewide that did not meet projected performance levels during the most recent evaluation cycle.
GOSA calculates the BTO analysis annually following the release of CCRPI scores by the Georgia Department of Education. The process uses a four-step statistical regression model to estimate expected performance, establish a confidence range, and compare actual results against those projections.
While the designation does not provide specific reasons for a school’s performance, it serves as an accountability measure designed to identify schools that are either outperforming or underperforming expectations after accounting for external factors.
The report comes as educators across Georgia continue working to address academic challenges and improve student achievement following several years of fluctuating performance trends.
Complete BTO results, methodology details, and statewide school classifications are available through GOSA’s public reporting system. Click Here for more
