With Hurricane Irma threatening to reacch wind speeds of up to 185 MPH, the NOAA has released graphics and a forecast on how the storm might play out in the coming days.
The latest official NHC forecast shows a track toward south Florida, making landfall and moving north into Georgia by Monday.
Due to the large area of tropical storm and hurricane force winds expected as well as uncertainty on the track and forward speed of Irma, impacts may be felt well ahead of the center. The graphic below shows the earliest reasonable arrival time of tropical storm force winds (> 39 mph).
Possible Impacts from Irma in Georgia:
Impacts such as heavy rainfall, flooding, destructive winds and devastating storm surge along the coast will be possible. At this time, impacts are more likely across eastern and portions of north Georgia. With the recent shift westward of the track, we will need to monitor the potential for tornadoes as severe weather is more likely on the right side of the hurricane.
NHC forecasters have noted that high uncertainty on the exact track and strength continues.
Impacts in Georgia, including the threat for tornadoes,
will be greater if the storm tracks on the west side of the cone of uncertainty (the white hatched area in the first forecast image above).
Less impacts will occur if it tracks to the east side of the cone.
We continue to emphasize to not focus on the exact track from a single forecast. Expect this forecast to change as confidence increases.
For the latest on Irma from the National Hurricane Center, follow this link to the National Hurricane Center’s page: www.nhc.noaa.gov
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